UPDATE: 2025/12/28 08:01 EST BY BRENNAN KLEIN
Avatar 3’s Drop is 5% Slimmer Than Saturday Projections, Marty Supreme Secures A24’s Second-Best Debut
This article was originally written Saturday AM and has been updated Sunday AM with up-to-date box office projections (in bold). Scroll down for a full chart and further analysis.
Avatar: Fire and Ash continues to top the domestic chart during its second weekend. While the James Cameron movie is tracking below its immediate predecessor, the record-smashing 2022 hit The Way of Water, it still earned one of the best domestic debuts of the year with a pre-Christmas 3-day haul of $89.2 million.
Per Deadline, as of Sunday morning, Avatar: Fire and Ash is projected to maintain its place at No. 1 in its sophomore weekend with a 3-day domestic gross of $64 million. This sees it dropping just 28% from its debut, which bests The Way of Water‘s 52.8% drop over the same 3-day Christmas weekend frame in 2022.
While neither of the new Avatar movies was able to beat the sophomore drop of the original 2009 movie (which fell a scant 1.8%), Fire and Ash will surge past the $200 million domestic milestone (becoming the 11th movie of 2025 to do so), hitting a cumulative total of $217.7 million by the end of Sunday.
Thanks to its slimmer sophomore drop, Fire and Ash has closed the gap somewhat between itself and The Way of Water. The 2022 title (which is the third highest-grossing movie of all time worldwide, while Avatar is the first) had reached a cumulative domestic total of $261 million by the end of the same frame.
Meanwhile, of the three major new wide releases that debuted on Christmas Day, the Timothée Chalamet ping pong movie Marty Supreme is expected to have the best premiere, debuting at No. 3 behind Avatar and Disney’s billion-dollar hit Zootopia 2 with a 3-day haul of $17.4 million.
This marks A24’s second best 3-day wide debut of all time after the Alex Garland movie Civil War ($25 million). Additionally, Marty Supreme‘s 4-day haul of $27.1 million sees it taking No. 2 instead of Zootopia 2 over the full holiday weekend.
This will see Marty Supreme besting Chalamet’s 2024 holiday season release, the Bob Dylan biopic A Complete Unknown. That movie had a 3-day debut of just $11.6 million. While neither compares to the $39 million debut of his 2023 holiday splash Wonka, that was an IP tentpole and thus operated on a very different scale.
It has handily bested its competitors, namely the Neil Diamond cover band biopic Song Sung Blue and the meta comedy reboot Anaconda. The former is projected to debut at No. 5 with a 3-day of $14.6 million after a neck-and-neck battle with the sophomore weekend of the Sydney Sweeney thriller The Housemaid.
This Weekend’s Domestic Box Office Top 5
Below, see the full domestic Top 5 chart for the weekend:
# | Title | 3-Day Total | 4-Day Total | Cumulative (Domestic) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Avatar: Fire and Ash | $64 million | $88 million | $217.7 million (weekend 2) |
2 | Zootopia 2 | $20 million | $25.2 million | $320 million (weekend 5) |
3 | Marty Supreme | $17.4 million | $27.1 million | $28.3 million (weekend 2) |
4 | The Housemaid | $15.4 million | $18.9 million | $46.6 million (weekend 2) |
5 | Anaconda | $14.6 million | $23.7 million | $23.7 million (weekend 1) |
With Marty Supreme and Anaconda joining the chart, others have had to leave in order to make room. The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants was buffeted from No. 4 while the biblical animated movie David has fallen precipitously from its previous position at No. 2. Both movies are in their sophomore weekends.
Other holdover titles have performed much better. Zootopia 2 zoomed from No. 5 back up to No. 2 with a week-on-week rise of 35% while The Housemaid fell from No. 3 to No. 4 with a slim 19% drop. However, just like Marty Supreme, the newcomer Anaconda performed better than its direct competitor on Christmas Day, taking No. 4 over The Housemaid on the 4-day chart.
Last weekend, all four new wide releases graced the Top 5, but that is not the case this time. Song Sung Blue is expected to debut outside the Top 5 entirely, hitting No. 8 with a 3-day of $7.6 million and a 4-day of $12 million. The movie, which only has a reported budget of $30 million, will likely benefit from the holiday season’s tendency of delivering slow-and-steady growth rather than frontloaded debuts.
All in all, the newcomers and holdover titles (with Avatar: Fire and Ash leading the charge) are cumulatively set to earn roughly $180 million over the weekend, which is the best for a post-Christmas weekend since 2019, when titles such as Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Jumanji: The Next Level, and Frozen II pushed the domestic box office to $186.8 million.
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- Release Date
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December 19, 2025
- Runtime
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197 Minutes
- Writers
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Amanda Silver, Rick Jaffa, James Cameron, Josh Friedman, Shane Salerno
- Producers
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Jon Landau, James Cameron, Brigitte Yorke, Jamie Landau, Maria Battle-Campbell






